Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.065397 0.073717 0.082312 0.091825 0.102033 0.112629 0.124433
2025-02-23 0.054158 0.066794 0.080580 0.096605 0.114589 0.134024 0.156493
2025-03-02 0.045971 0.061444 0.079145 0.100570 0.125482 0.153242 0.186220
2025-03-09 0.036828 0.053434 0.073348 0.098394 0.128476 0.162916 0.204796
2025-03-16 0.029383 0.046323 0.067602 0.095347 0.129670 0.169912 0.219843
2025-03-23 0.026217 0.044174 0.067561 0.098896 0.138502 0.185735 0.245170
2025-03-30 0.023131 0.041674 0.066701 0.101113 0.145487 0.199233 0.267723
2025-04-06 0.020989 0.040193 0.066948 0.104569 0.153909 0.214446 0.292395
2025-04-13 0.018043 0.037131 0.064719 0.104498 0.157646 0.223770 0.309857
2025-04-20 0.017476 0.037638 0.067447 0.111084 0.170031 0.243970 0.340848
2025-04-27 0.014733 0.034307 0.064372 0.109489 0.171524 0.250348 0.354671
2025-05-04 0.013327 0.033012 0.064153 0.111766 0.178092 0.263165 0.376577
2025-05-11 0.011216 0.030315 0.061779 0.111102 0.180998 0.271745 0.393850
2025-05-18 0.010641 0.030384 0.063729 0.116785 0.192732 0.292034 0.426366
2025-05-25 0.009893 0.030014 0.064929 0.121371 0.203019 0.310563 0.456846
2025-06-01 0.008001 0.027017 0.061579 0.118943 0.203367 0.315894 0.470312
2025-06-08 0.006250 0.023916 0.057740 0.115502 0.202077 0.318902 0.480680
2025-06-15 0.005779 0.023629 0.058729 0.119528 0.211470 0.336278 0.509865
2025-06-22 0.005159 0.022861 0.058784 0.122039 0.218673 0.350740 0.535325
2025-06-29 0.004768 0.022596 0.059718 0.125946 0.227938 0.368063 0.564662
2025-07-06 0.003986 0.021104 0.058242 0.125867 0.231301 0.377328 0.583393
2025-07-13 0.004036 0.021981 0.061315 0.133298 0.245864 0.402071 0.622808
2025-07-20 0.003219 0.020086 0.058873 0.131500 0.246619 0.407767 0.636903